Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 0.410502 0.454419 0.501626 0.556235 0.617783 0.685136 0.764597
2025-05-11 0.339837 0.400477 0.470504 0.557752 0.664099 0.790214 0.952133
2025-05-18 0.302059 0.371016 0.454550 0.564004 0.704826 0.881516 1.122519
2025-05-25 0.266973 0.338659 0.428811 0.551743 0.716906 0.933841 1.244850
2025-06-01 0.247388 0.322842 0.420930 0.559532 0.753171 1.018352 1.416434
2025-06-08 0.227155 0.303701 0.406073 0.555255 0.770903 1.077288 1.556473
2025-06-15 0.212996 0.291183 0.398525 0.559500 0.799757 1.153196 1.728077
2025-06-22 0.196940 0.274494 0.383430 0.550962 0.808185 1.198517 1.856228
2025-06-29 0.183784 0.260798 0.371300 0.545297 0.819672 1.248493 1.995934
2025-07-06 0.167615 0.241475 0.349373 0.522708 0.802339 1.250602 2.055198
2025-07-13 0.160736 0.235437 0.346741 0.529550 0.832044 1.330926 2.256539
2025-07-20 0.154297 0.229557 0.343804 0.535431 0.860283 1.410858 2.465696
2025-07-27 0.147702 0.223141 0.339782 0.539544 0.886457 1.490748 2.686721
2025-08-03 0.140974 0.216084 0.334258 0.540700 0.907598 1.563805 2.904191
2025-08-10 0.135838 0.211202 0.331831 0.546753 0.937635 1.655522 3.169534
2025-08-17 0.127673 0.200864 0.319697 0.534920 0.933985 1.683460 3.307572
2025-08-24 0.123745 0.197279 0.318599 0.542437 0.966678 1.784024 3.611376
2025-08-31 0.118059 0.190390 0.311400 0.538309 0.976734 1.840650 3.826524
2025-09-07 0.114184 0.186343 0.308826 0.542406 1.002907 1.932104 4.131887
2025-09-14 0.108592 0.179017 0.300034 0.534167 1.003810 1.971032 4.320159
2025-09-21 0.103821 0.172868 0.292974 0.528700 1.009775 2.021093 4.541624
2025-09-28 0.096934 0.162635 0.277992 0.506895 0.980300 1.991408 4.562560
2025-10-05 0.094593 0.160416 0.277512 0.513501 1.010843 2.097360 4.940989